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Table 5 Number needed to screen to identify one cardiovascular event excess per year according to different estimated prevalence of significant CAD a

From: A new risk score model to predict the presence of significant coronary artery disease in renal transplant candidates

Prevalence of CAD ≥70% estimated by the risk score Number of patients with CAD ≥70% Number of patients with CAD <70% Number of events in patients with CAD ≥70% (AR = 13%) Number of events in patients with CAD <70% (AR = 2%) Excess of events in patients with CAD ≥70% Number needed to screen to identify one cardiovascular event
5% 5 95 0.65 1.90 −1.25 N/A
10% 10 90 1.30 1.80 −0.50 N/A
15% 15 85 1.95 1.70 0.25 400
20% 20 80 2.60 1.60 1.00 100
25% 25 75 3.25 1.50 1.75 57
30% 30 70 3.90 1.40 2.50 40
35% 35 65 4.55 1.30 3.25 31
40% 40 60 5.20 1.20 4.00 25
  1. aBased on 100 coronary angiographies. CAD, coronary artery disease; N/A, not applicable; AR, absolute risk.